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Red61
46618.9
263022.6
711214.8
Blue51
223015.5
973914.0
194310.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50450204060801006151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#18
22.60.3
21.821.5
Auto9.2
Teleop13.3
End0.1
red by 7.1
2230
#26
15.50.1
15.415.3
Auto6.9
Teleop6.7
End1.9
Second
7112
#11
14.80.3
14.013.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End1.1
red by 0.8
9739
#22
14.00.1
15.715.6
Auto8.8
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Third
4661
#32
8.90.3
9.18.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End0.6
blue by 1.5
1943
#25
10.40.1
10.510.4
Auto5.5
Teleop4.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsEarned27%Ensemble oddsMissed