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Red71
592811.2
193727.0
555425.0
Blue50
599023.2
703923.3
529115.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6673204060801001207150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.00.0
26.026.0
Auto9.9
Teleop16.3
End0.8
red by 3.6
7039
#15
23.30.3
24.323.9
Auto6.7
Teleop15.2
End1.4
Second
25.00.0
24.024.0
Auto11.8
Teleop9.3
End3.9
red by 1.8
23.20.3
24.123.8
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End1.4
Third
5928
#24
11.20.0
10.210.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.5
End1.1
blue by 4.5
5291
#16
15.80.3
16.716.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End0.8