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Red48
45865.1
673816.6
674011.3
Blue56
307529.3
321110.2
974012.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4276020601001201404856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6738
#23
16.60.9
15.314.3
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End-0.1
blue by 12.6
29.30.9
29.428.5
Auto6.2
Teleop21.5
End1.6
Second
6740
#19
11.30.9
18.117.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End0.8
blue by 1.3
9740
#10
12.60.9
13.712.8
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End0.5
Third
4586
#15
5.10.9
8.77.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.2
End-0.1
blue by 5.1
3211
#21
10.20.9
21.420.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsMissed