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Red50
561432.0
784519.9
209617.6
Blue89
1690B38.2
610424.5
5990B28.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions825601001505089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.01.4
29.227.8
Auto13.0
Teleop17.5
End1.5
blue by 6.2
38.23.9
23.427.3
Auto13.9
Teleop22.2
End2.1
Second
19.91.4
20.419.0
Auto10.0
Teleop8.1
End1.9
blue by 8.5
28.43.9
12.916.8
Auto4.9
Teleop21.8
End1.7
Third
2096
#11
17.61.4
21.520.0
Auto7.2
Teleop9.3
End1.1
blue by 6.8
24.52.3
17.720.0
Auto7.2
Teleop15.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed