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Red64
598714.4
331619.5
459011.3
Blue46
383522.5
555419.5
307529.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions528402040601001201406446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.8
19.718.9
Auto9.8
Teleop8.3
End1.3
blue by 9.8
29.31.8
28.526.7
Auto6.2
Teleop21.5
End1.6
Second
5987
#17
14.40.8
16.015.2
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End1.4
blue by 8.1
3835
#16
22.51.8
23.221.4
Auto9.2
Teleop11.0
End2.3
Third
4590
#14
11.30.8
15.114.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End0.8
blue by 8.3
5554
#13
19.51.8
20.819.0
Auto6.0
Teleop12.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned53%Ensemble oddsMissed