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Red52
306516.3
209617.6
5990B28.4
Blue41
674011.3
6740B10.2
561432.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605601001502002503005241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.6
22.321.7
Auto4.9
Teleop21.8
End1.7
blue by 3.6
32.01.1
29.328.1
Auto13.0
Teleop17.5
End1.5
Second
2096
#11
17.60.4
18.017.6
Auto7.2
Teleop9.3
End1.1
red by 6.4
6740
#19
11.31.1
14.413.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Third
3065
#25
16.30.4
13.212.8
Auto8.7
Teleop6.3
End1.4
red by 6.1
10.21.8
7.35.5
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed