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Red84
598714.4
599020.6
169050.6
Blue79
784519.9
331619.5
263027.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104770501502008479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.60.8
45.344.6
Auto15.9
Teleop31.6
End3.2
red by 23.0
27.60.4
33.634.0
Auto9.2
Teleop16.9
End1.5
Second
5990
#12
20.60.8
26.926.2
Auto6.2
Teleop12.0
End2.4
red by 0.7
19.90.4
20.020.4
Auto10.0
Teleop8.1
End1.9
Third
5987
#17
14.40.8
18.317.5
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End1.4
blue by 5.0
19.50.4
19.219.7
Auto9.8
Teleop8.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed