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Red103
610424.5
19437.6
169050.6
Blue65
307529.3
561432.0
45865.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94765015010365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.60.4
50.751.1
Auto15.9
Teleop31.6
End3.2
red by 18.6
32.00.3
33.433.0
Auto13.0
Teleop17.5
End1.5
Second
24.50.4
24.624.9
Auto7.2
Teleop15.6
End1.6
blue by 4.8
29.30.3
30.630.3
Auto6.2
Teleop21.5
End1.6
Third
1943
#20
7.60.4
7.78.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End0.2
red by 2.5
4586
#15
5.10.3
6.56.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.2
End-0.1