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Red60
674011.3
263027.6
784519.9
Blue45
331619.5
383522.5
26799.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675402040801001201406045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.0
27.627.6
Auto9.2
Teleop16.9
End1.5
red by 5.1
3835
#16
22.50.2
22.222.0
Auto9.2
Teleop11.0
End2.3
Second
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto10.0
Teleop8.1
End1.9
red by 0.5
19.50.2
19.219.0
Auto9.8
Teleop8.3
End1.3
Third
6740
#19
11.30.0
11.211.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End0.8
red by 2.1
2679
#24
9.10.2
8.88.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End1.0