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Red28
599020.6
673816.6
459011.3
Blue68
331619.5
383522.5
26799.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555530354045506065702868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5990
#12
20.60.5
21.120.6
Auto6.2
Teleop12.0
End2.4
blue by 1.9
3835
#16
22.50.4
22.022.4
Auto9.2
Teleop11.0
End2.3
Second
6738
#23
16.60.5
17.116.6
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End-0.1
blue by 2.8
19.50.4
19.019.4
Auto9.8
Teleop8.3
End1.3
Third
4590
#14
11.30.5
11.811.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End0.8
red by 2.1
2679
#24
9.10.4
8.79.1
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End1.0