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Red102
610424.5
19437.6
169050.6
Blue91
784519.9
263027.6
674011.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions976005015020010291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.60.1
50.950.7
Auto15.9
Teleop31.6
End3.2
red by 23.0
27.60.5
27.628.1
Auto9.2
Teleop16.9
End1.5
Second
24.50.1
24.724.6
Auto7.2
Teleop15.6
End1.6
red by 4.5
19.90.5
19.920.4
Auto10.0
Teleop8.1
End1.9
Third
1943
#20
7.60.1
7.87.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End0.2
blue by 3.7
6740
#19
11.30.5
11.311.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End0.8