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Red109
674011.3
263027.6
784519.9
Blue68
209617.6
598714.4
306516.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695002040608010012014016010968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.1
28.128.2
Auto9.2
Teleop16.9
End1.5
red by 10.0
2096
#11
17.60.3
17.317.6
Auto7.2
Teleop9.3
End1.1
Second
19.90.1
20.420.6
Auto10.0
Teleop8.1
End1.9
red by 3.6
3065
#25
16.30.3
16.016.3
Auto8.7
Teleop6.3
End1.4
Third
6740
#19
11.30.1
11.811.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End0.8
blue by 3.2
5987
#17
14.40.3
14.114.4
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End1.4