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Red48
33885.4
333943.5
99957.0
Blue87
263029.0
157429.2
459010.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706940506080901001104887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.5
40.439.9
Auto14.6
Teleop25.3
End3.5
red by 14.2
29.20.7
32.833.5
Auto11.6
Teleop11.9
End5.7
Second
9995
#23
7.00.8
4.03.2
Auto4.9
Teleop2.6
End-0.2
blue by 22.0
29.00.7
27.428.1
Auto7.9
Teleop19.8
End1.2
Third
3388
#24
5.40.5
11.110.6
Auto4.1
Teleop0.7
End0.7
blue by 5.1
4590
#11
10.50.7
4.75.4
Auto4.8
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed65%Ensemble oddsMissed