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Red49
51355.1
223127.4
Blue62
97385.1
595138.1
571522.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67970501502004962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2231
#13
27.42.3
34.432.1
Auto9.7
Teleop14.0
End3.7
blue by 10.7
38.12.1
41.239.1
Auto13.1
Teleop23.6
End1.4
Second
8.57.2
8.515.7
Auto3.6
Teleop4.4
End0.4
blue by 13.8
5715
#17
22.32.1
24.622.5
Auto9.3
Teleop12.5
End0.6
Third
5135
#16
5.12.3
9.97.6
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End0.7
blue by 0.1
9738
#21
5.12.1
18.115.9
Auto3.7
Teleop1.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsEarned47%Ensemble oddsMissed