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Red150
169051.2
333943.5
595138.1
Blue53
99957.0
263029.0
563512.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15241010020025015053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.21.0
49.550.4
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End1.8
red by 22.2
29.00.4
28.128.5
Auto7.9
Teleop19.8
End1.2
Second
43.51.0
39.940.9
Auto14.6
Teleop25.3
End3.5
red by 31.2
5635
#20
12.30.4
13.113.6
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End-0.2
Third
38.11.0
36.137.1
Auto13.1
Teleop23.6
End1.4
red by 31.1
9995
#23
7.00.7
3.23.9
Auto4.9
Teleop2.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
88%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed