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Red38
308312.5
223127.4
97385.1
Blue68
209621.1
711213.4
263029.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52670204060801001203868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2231
#13
27.41.4
27.325.9
Auto9.7
Teleop14.0
End3.7
blue by 1.6
29.00.1
28.528.5
Auto7.9
Teleop19.8
End1.2
Second
12.51.4
11.09.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End1.8
blue by 8.6
21.10.1
21.021.0
Auto7.5
Teleop11.8
End1.8
Third
9738
#21
5.11.4
10.49.0
Auto3.7
Teleop1.1
End0.3
blue by 8.2
7112
#10
13.40.1
9.39.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
54%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed