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Red91
822310.3
263029.0
Blue51
99957.0
459010.5
209621.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444001001502009151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.03.3
28.531.8
Auto7.9
Teleop19.8
End1.2
red by 7.9
21.10.6
21.021.6
Auto7.5
Teleop11.8
End1.8
Second
8223
#18
10.33.3
7.811.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.6
End0.6
blue by 0.2
4590
#11
10.50.6
6.57.1
Auto4.8
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Third
8.55.2
4.79.9
Auto3.6
Teleop4.4
End0.4
red by 1.5
9995
#23
7.00.9
4.55.4
Auto4.9
Teleop2.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed