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Red24
33885.4
571522.3
563512.3
Blue85
703922.9
308312.5
333943.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions448801001502485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5715
#17
22.31.5
24.222.8
Auto9.3
Teleop12.5
End0.6
blue by 21.1
43.50.7
42.242.8
Auto14.6
Teleop25.3
End3.5
Second
5635
#20
12.31.5
13.111.6
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End-0.2
blue by 10.6
7039
#12
22.90.7
22.222.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.7
End1.6
Third
3388
#24
5.41.5
8.57.1
Auto4.1
Teleop0.7
End0.7
blue by 7.1
12.50.7
10.711.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed