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Red89
157730.1
263029.0
555425.4
Blue48
563512.3
703922.9
209621.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10066501508948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
#14
30.10.1
39.138.9
Auto9.1
Teleop19.5
End1.6
red by 7.3
7039
#12
22.91.7
26.324.7
Auto8.6
Teleop12.7
End1.6
Second
29.00.1
27.627.5
Auto7.9
Teleop19.8
End1.2
red by 7.9
21.11.7
17.615.9
Auto7.5
Teleop11.8
End1.8
Third
25.40.1
19.519.4
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End0.9
red by 13.1
5635
#20
12.31.7
19.417.7
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed