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Red136
99957.0
333943.5
169051.2
Blue65
209621.1
474415.4
157730.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1206605010015020013665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.20.4
50.751.1
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End1.8
red by 21.1
1577
#14
30.10.0
30.030.0
Auto9.1
Teleop19.5
End1.6
Second
43.50.4
43.043.4
Auto14.6
Teleop25.3
End3.5
red by 22.4
21.10.0
21.020.9
Auto7.5
Teleop11.8
End1.8
Third
9995
#23
7.00.5
6.46.9
Auto4.9
Teleop2.6
End-0.2
blue by 8.4
4744
#15
15.40.0
15.315.3
Auto5.8
Teleop8.6
End1.0