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Red20
433816.9
563512.3
459010.5
Blue42
571522.3
308312.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444902060801001201402042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4338
#19
16.90.5
17.416.9
Auto6.6
Teleop9.8
End0.5
blue by 5.4
5715
#17
22.30.0
22.522.5
Auto9.3
Teleop12.5
End0.6
Second
5635
#20
12.30.5
12.712.3
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End-0.2
blue by 0.2
12.50.0
12.712.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End1.8
Third
4590
#11
10.50.5
11.010.5
Auto4.8
Teleop4.8
End0.9
red by 2.0
8.50.1
8.78.7
Auto3.6
Teleop4.4
End0.4