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Red85
306141.3
964422.5
414525.1
Blue61
95937.2
418825.8
741921.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1014602060801201401608561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#12
41.30.4
36.936.4
Auto10.9
Teleop27.8
End2.5
red by 15.4
4188
#65
25.80.5
21.121.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.0
End0.2
Second
4145
#52
25.10.4
28.628.2
Auto9.1
Teleop14.8
End1.1
red by 3.2
7419
#41
21.90.5
18.318.8
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End2.4
Third
9644
#39
22.50.4
19.619.2
Auto8.4
Teleop10.3
End3.8
red by 15.4
9593
#72
7.20.5
9.09.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed