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Red116
168339.4
147738.3
411224.3
Blue139
964422.5
476643.7
97329.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10992406080100120140160180116139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1683
#20
39.41.3
38.239.5
Auto14.2
Teleop24.3
End0.9
blue by 4.3
4766
#17
43.73.5
39.743.2
Auto13.9
Teleop26.1
End3.7
Second
1477
#32
38.31.3
34.635.9
Auto14.8
Teleop19.9
End3.7
red by 9.4
973
#10
29.03.5
25.629.1
Auto7.7
Teleop19.9
End1.4
Third
4112
#64
24.31.3
23.524.8
Auto10.4
Teleop13.1
End0.7
red by 1.7
9644
#39
22.53.5
19.823.2
Auto8.4
Teleop10.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed47%Ensemble oddsEarned