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Red85
287734.0
295935.9
566524.1
Blue71
243822.9
601727.5
731229.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11085501001508571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#16
35.91.6
36.234.7
Auto10.8
Teleop22.6
End2.4
red by 6.5
7312
#66
29.40.9
29.728.8
Auto12.4
Teleop13.4
End3.6
Second
34.01.6
35.734.2
Auto10.6
Teleop19.2
End4.1
red by 6.5
6017
#47
27.50.9
26.926.0
Auto6.8
Teleop18.4
End2.2
Third
5665
#36
24.11.6
24.422.8
Auto6.5
Teleop17.3
End0.3
red by 1.3
2438
#28
22.90.9
23.422.6
Auto10.0
Teleop9.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsEarned42%Ensemble oddsMissed