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Red109
975811.9
702140.9
512626.0
Blue17
91206.9
95797.2
287512.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9224040608010012014016010917

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.9
38.939.8
Auto14.5
Teleop20.8
End5.5
red by 28.1
2875
#69
12.70.9
13.512.7
Auto5.1
Teleop6.7
End1.0
Second
5126
#60
26.00.9
25.226.1
Auto11.4
Teleop14.3
End0.3
red by 18.8
9579
#71
7.20.9
8.57.6
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Third
9758
#63
11.90.9
11.412.3
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.0
red by 5.0
9120
#68
6.90.9
8.07.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed