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Red92
189926.7
364731.9
285127.7
Blue68
141430.8
495212.5
80124.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9971204060801201401609268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#35
31.90.4
33.433.8
Auto9.4
Teleop20.9
End1.6
red by 1.1
1414
#25
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto11.4
Teleop19.0
End0.4
Second
2851
#42
27.70.4
27.127.5
Auto8.0
Teleop16.6
End3.1
red by 3.3
801
#58
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto8.7
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Third
1899
#54
26.70.4
25.926.3
Auto10.4
Teleop14.5
End1.8
red by 14.2
4952
#67
12.50.0
12.512.6
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed