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Red109
258230.0
141430.8
170651.3
Blue91
178740.5
168425.1
411224.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1267920406010014016018010991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.30.3
49.749.4
Auto17.0
Teleop28.1
End6.2
red by 10.8
1787
#15
40.50.6
32.933.5
Auto10.5
Teleop26.5
End3.5
Second
1414
#25
30.80.3
29.529.2
Auto11.4
Teleop19.0
End0.4
red by 5.7
1684
#56
25.10.6
21.321.8
Auto5.8
Teleop17.7
End1.7
Third
2582
#51
30.00.3
29.329.0
Auto9.4
Teleop17.3
End3.3
red by 5.7
4112
#64
24.30.6
23.223.8
Auto10.4
Teleop13.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
67%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed