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Red73
363729.8
540636.1
418825.8
Blue125
32533.8
364731.9
501032.6
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831145010015073125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5406
#13
36.10.7
30.730.0
Auto11.4
Teleop19.0
End5.7
red by 2.3
325
#33
33.81.1
33.834.8
Auto11.3
Teleop19.8
End2.7
Second
3637
#27
29.80.7
26.625.9
Auto8.9
Teleop18.7
End2.2
blue by 2.8
5010
#26
32.61.1
33.134.1
Auto9.0
Teleop20.9
End2.7
Third
4188
#65
25.80.7
21.620.9
Auto9.6
Teleop16.0
End0.2
blue by 6.1
3647
#35
31.91.1
32.433.4
Auto9.4
Teleop20.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsMissed97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsEarned