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Qual 322024 Johnson Division
Red120
313629.9
287734.0
445135.2
Blue112
476643.7
363729.8
438127.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9794050150200250300120112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#48
35.22.2
25.4→27.6
Auto13.1
Teleop20.0
End2.1
blue by 8.6
4766
#17
43.71.6
34.4→36.0
Auto13.9
Teleop26.1
End3.7
Second
2877
#6
34.02.2
32.7→34.9
Auto10.6
Teleop19.2
End4.1
red by 4.2
3637
#27
29.81.6
25.9→27.5
Auto8.9
Teleop18.7
End2.2
Third
3136
#37
29.92.2
29.2→31.4
Auto7.5
Teleop19.5
End2.9
red by 2.7
4381
#22
27.11.6
25.0→26.7
Auto7.3
Teleop16.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsEarned