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Red75
319326.0
731229.4
964422.5
Blue104
178740.5
49427.3
80124.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76100406012014075104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7312
#66
29.40.2
30.730.9
Auto12.4
Teleop13.4
End3.6
blue by 11.1
1787
#15
40.50.8
33.534.2
Auto10.5
Teleop26.5
End3.5
Second
3193
#44
26.00.2
22.422.6
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End1.6
blue by 1.3
494
#40
27.30.8
29.530.3
Auto5.3
Teleop17.1
End5.0
Third
9644
#39
22.50.2
18.318.5
Auto8.4
Teleop10.3
End3.8
blue by 1.8
801
#58
24.40.8
24.725.4
Auto8.7
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsMissed71%Ensemble oddsEarned