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Red148
287734.0
170651.3
476643.7
Blue104
189926.7
306141.3
558724.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1418850100150200148104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.30.7
50.651.3
Auto17.0
Teleop28.1
End6.2
red by 10.0
3061
#12
41.31.2
36.537.8
Auto10.9
Teleop27.8
End2.5
Second
4766
#17
43.70.7
36.036.7
Auto13.9
Teleop26.1
End3.7
red by 17.0
1899
#54
26.71.2
26.127.4
Auto10.4
Teleop14.5
End1.8
Third
34.00.7
34.935.6
Auto10.6
Teleop19.2
End4.1
red by 9.2
5587
#43
24.81.2
22.924.2
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
58%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsEarned