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Qual 472024 Johnson Division
Red116
168339.4
540636.1
141430.8
Blue111
461137.3
440529.7
494418.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1037120406080120140160116111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1683
#20
39.41.8
30.9→32.7
Auto14.2
Teleop24.3
End0.9
red by 2.1
4611
#8
37.32.2
30.4→32.6
Auto12.6
Teleop22.3
End2.4
Second
5406
#13
36.11.8
30.5→32.2
Auto11.4
Teleop19.0
End5.7
red by 6.4
4405
#23
29.72.2
24.8→26.9
Auto11.3
Teleop16.8
End1.6
Third
1414
#25
30.81.8
28.1→29.9
Auto11.4
Teleop19.0
End0.4
red by 12.0
4944
#57
18.92.2
13.2→15.3
Auto7.6
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed