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Red120
912839.6
243822.9
178740.5
Blue103
978525.6
975811.9
264243.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10764204080100120140120103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1787
#15
40.51.9
31.032.9
Auto10.5
Teleop26.5
End3.5
blue by 2.5
2642
#19
43.02.6
30.032.6
Auto10.7
Teleop30.1
End2.2
Second
9128
#34
39.61.9
44.045.9
Auto13.6
Teleop23.2
End2.9
red by 14.1
9785
#50
25.62.6
22.625.2
Auto7.7
Teleop16.3
End1.6
Third
2438
#28
22.91.9
16.818.7
Auto10.0
Teleop9.8
End3.1
red by 11.0
9758
#63
11.92.6
10.112.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed