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Red105
306141.3
741921.9
265935.1
Blue58
313629.9
731229.4
975811.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1007720406012014016010558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#12
41.30.8
37.838.6
Auto10.9
Teleop27.8
End2.5
red by 11.4
3136
#37
29.91.6
31.229.6
Auto7.5
Teleop19.5
End2.9
Second
35.10.8
31.232.1
Auto10.8
Teleop20.4
End3.9
red by 5.7
7312
#66
29.41.6
29.427.8
Auto12.4
Teleop13.4
End3.6
Third
7419
#41
21.90.8
18.919.7
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End2.4
red by 10.0
9758
#63
11.91.6
11.610.0
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsEarned47%Ensemble oddsMissed