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Red75
601727.5
189926.7
822.8
Blue78
52522.7
912839.6
265935.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82113501001507578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6017
#47
27.51.5
27.025.5
Auto6.8
Teleop18.4
End2.2
blue by 12.1
9128
#34
39.61.4
40.639.3
Auto13.6
Teleop23.2
End2.9
Second
1899
#54
26.71.5
27.125.6
Auto10.4
Teleop14.5
End1.8
blue by 8.4
35.11.4
32.130.7
Auto10.8
Teleop20.4
End3.9
Third
8
#53
22.81.5
23.722.1
Auto10.1
Teleop12.0
End0.8
Level
525
#59
22.71.4
25.724.3
Auto11.9
Teleop9.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsMissed98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned42%Ensemble oddsMissed