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Red97
439145.2
558724.8
174732.7
Blue105
170140.3
141430.8
295935.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105107608010012014016097105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.1
43.043.1
Auto17.1
Teleop25.2
End2.9
red by 4.8
1701
#14
40.30.6
34.835.3
Auto14.4
Teleop23.4
End2.6
Second
1747
#55
32.70.1
29.329.4
Auto9.4
Teleop20.5
End2.8
blue by 3.2
2959
#16
35.90.6
33.033.5
Auto10.8
Teleop22.6
End2.4
Third
5587
#43
24.80.1
22.923.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End2.7
blue by 6.1
1414
#25
30.80.6
28.929.5
Auto11.4
Teleop19.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed