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Red94
543640.3
978525.6
287512.7
Blue113
319326.0
168339.4
313228.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73952040608012014016094113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.31.5
32.133.6
Auto10.1
Teleop26.8
End3.4
red by 0.9
1683
#20
39.42.0
34.236.2
Auto14.2
Teleop24.3
End0.9
Second
9785
#50
25.61.5
25.026.6
Auto7.7
Teleop16.3
End1.6
blue by 2.9
3132
#45
28.42.0
23.825.8
Auto9.9
Teleop15.6
End2.9
Third
2875
#69
12.71.5
11.813.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.7
End1.0
blue by 13.2
3193
#44
26.02.0
25.227.2
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed