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Red97
49427.3
32533.8
313228.4
Blue146
170140.3
170651.3
265935.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931395015020097146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#33
33.80.5
33.333.8
Auto11.3
Teleop19.8
End2.7
blue by 17.5
51.31.1
51.652.7
Auto17.0
Teleop28.1
End6.2
Second
3132
#45
28.40.5
25.826.3
Auto9.9
Teleop15.6
End2.9
blue by 11.9
1701
#14
40.31.1
37.939.0
Auto14.4
Teleop23.4
End2.6
Third
494
#40
27.30.5
30.230.8
Auto5.3
Teleop17.1
End5.0
blue by 7.7
35.11.1
30.731.7
Auto10.8
Teleop20.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsEarned69%Ensemble oddsEarned