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Red112
873828.6
168339.4
32533.8
Blue106
178740.5
512626.0
601727.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1149350150200112106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1683
#20
39.40.3
37.938.2
Auto14.2
Teleop24.3
End0.9
blue by 1.1
1787
#15
40.51.3
37.138.4
Auto10.5
Teleop26.5
End3.5
Second
325
#33
33.80.3
33.834.1
Auto11.3
Teleop19.8
End2.7
red by 6.3
6017
#47
27.51.3
25.626.9
Auto6.8
Teleop18.4
End2.2
Third
8738
#49
28.60.3
29.229.5
Auto11.1
Teleop15.0
End2.5
red by 2.6
5126
#60
26.01.3
23.925.2
Auto11.4
Teleop14.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed