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Red66
91206.9
434231.0
141430.8
Blue60
20120.7
418825.8
411810.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7861020401001201406660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4342
#38
31.00.2
29.729.5
Auto12.3
Teleop16.9
End1.8
red by 5.1
4188
#65
25.80.2
25.425.7
Auto9.6
Teleop16.0
End0.2
Second
1414
#25
30.80.2
31.030.8
Auto11.4
Teleop19.0
End0.4
red by 10.2
201
#30
20.70.2
20.020.2
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End2.7
Third
9120
#68
6.90.2
8.28.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.6
End0.3
blue by 3.1
4118
#74
10.00.2
11.411.6
Auto4.8
Teleop2.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed