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Qual 242024 Heartland Regional
Red33
882517.5
19946.3
173029.7
Blue43
171021.4
480914.2
318414.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554501001502003343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#3
29.71.0
24.6→23.6
Auto10.2
Teleop17.6
End1.9
red by 8.3
1710
#6
21.40.1
17.7→17.8
Auto9.5
Teleop11.1
End0.8
Second
8825
#24
17.51.7
15.0→13.4
Auto6.0
Teleop9.7
End1.8
red by 2.6
3184
#29
14.90.1
14.7→14.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End0.4
Third
1994
#30
6.31.7
8.6→6.9
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End1.0
blue by 7.9
4809
#17
14.20.1
9.7→9.8
Auto6.0
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed