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Red60
511916.9
9378.6
173029.7
Blue54
171021.4
51899.2
247022.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555001002003004006054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.7
23.624.3
Auto10.2
Teleop17.6
End1.9
red by 7.6
2470
#15
22.20.9
19.420.3
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Second
16.91.2
13.014.2
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End2.0
blue by 4.5
21.40.9
17.818.7
Auto9.5
Teleop11.1
End0.8
Third
937
#14
8.61.2
12.613.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End1.6
blue by 0.6
5189
#20
9.20.9
8.49.3
Auto5.9
Teleop3.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed