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Red44
247022.2
882517.5
241012.8
Blue62
480914.2
235728.7
172312.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5350354045556065704462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2470
#15
22.20.2
21.921.7
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End2.3
blue by 6.5
28.70.7
24.725.3
Auto9.9
Teleop14.1
End4.7
Second
8825
#24
17.50.2
13.813.6
Auto6.0
Teleop9.7
End1.8
red by 3.3
4809
#17
14.21.1
12.013.0
Auto6.0
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Third
2410
#26
12.80.2
10.310.0
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End1.4
red by 0.7
1723
#33
12.10.7
10.511.2
Auto2.3
Teleop8.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed