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Red66
306130.6
511916.9
256014.5
Blue43
173029.7
17637.5
94458.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6546204060801006643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.8
27.628.4
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End1.6
red by 0.9
29.70.1
26.326.3
Auto10.2
Teleop17.6
End1.9
Second
16.90.8
15.716.5
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End2.0
red by 8.0
9445
#28
8.90.1
8.78.7
Auto4.4
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Third
2560
#13
14.50.8
13.514.3
Auto6.5
Teleop5.8
End2.2
red by 7.0
1763
#36
7.50.1
8.88.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed