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Red42
176910.2
184711.8
955115.5
Blue66
49597.8
176418.5
526812.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43380102030506070804266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9551
#11
15.50.0
15.615.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.0
End0.9
blue by 3.0
1764
#12
18.51.7
18.620.3
Auto8.6
Teleop8.2
End1.8
Second
1847
#35
11.80.0
11.911.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End2.3
blue by 0.2
5268
#34
12.01.7
9.311.0
Auto7.5
Teleop4.2
End0.2
Third
1769
#31
10.20.0
10.410.4
Auto5.6
Teleop3.8
End0.8
red by 2.4
4959
#22
7.81.7
7.08.7
Auto3.6
Teleop2.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed