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Red59
526812.0
173029.7
198628.6
Blue50
176418.5
580125.3
50989.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805620401001205950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.3
29.629.3
Auto10.2
Teleop17.6
End1.9
red by 4.5
25.30.1
25.425.3
Auto11.2
Teleop12.9
End1.1
Second
28.60.3
28.528.1
Auto12.7
Teleop13.8
End2.2
red by 10.1
1764
#12
18.50.1
18.618.5
Auto8.6
Teleop8.2
End1.8
Third
5268
#34
12.00.3
11.411.0
Auto7.5
Teleop4.2
End0.2
red by 2.8
5098
#21
9.20.1
9.29.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End1.2