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Red38
580125.3
50989.2
176418.5
Blue97
171021.4
882517.5
247022.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58712030405080901003897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.5
25.725.2
Auto11.2
Teleop12.9
End1.1
red by 3.1
2470
#15
22.20.0
22.822.8
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Second
1764
#12
18.50.5
19.118.6
Auto8.6
Teleop8.2
End1.8
blue by 2.9
21.40.0
22.022.0
Auto9.5
Teleop11.1
End0.8
Third
5098
#21
9.20.5
9.59.1
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End1.2
blue by 8.4
8825
#24
17.50.0
18.218.1
Auto6.0
Teleop9.7
End1.8