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Red23
5387.3
32531.7
49314.4
Blue45
17209.8
381414.9
384315.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61572040801002345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#3
31.72.1
33.831.6
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End2.7
red by 16.6
3843
#14
15.11.0
15.114.2
Auto9.0
Teleop6.2
End-0.1
Second
538
#19
7.32.1
12.09.8
Auto3.3
Teleop2.6
End1.4
blue by 7.6
14.91.0
19.918.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.4
Third
4931
#21
4.42.1
9.47.2
Auto2.1
Teleop0.0
End2.3
blue by 5.5
1720
#15
9.81.0
17.316.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed