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Red36
320126.4
384315.1
492616.6
Blue44
549215.6
94919.5
174133.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787040601001203644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3201
#11
26.42.2
33.030.8
Auto12.6
Teleop11.4
End2.4
blue by 6.8
33.22.0
33.531.4
Auto9.8
Teleop20.5
End2.9
Second
4926
#18
16.62.2
22.019.8
Auto9.1
Teleop5.3
End2.2
red by 1.0
15.62.0
16.814.8
Auto7.5
Teleop7.1
End1.0
Third
3843
#14
15.12.2
14.212.0
Auto9.0
Teleop6.2
End-0.1
red by 5.6
9491
#12
9.52.0
14.112.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed