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Red60
453121.7
804433.8
566521.6
Blue90
597110.3
473839.2
642434.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7985501001506090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8044
#12
33.80.8
33.232.4
Auto10.2
Teleop20.5
End3.1
blue by 5.4
39.20.1
33.833.7
Auto14.7
Teleop22.0
End2.6
Second
4531
#13
21.70.9
19.518.6
Auto9.9
Teleop8.5
End3.4
blue by 12.4
34.20.1
34.334.2
Auto15.4
Teleop15.2
End3.6
Third
5665
#11
21.60.8
19.318.5
Auto5.1
Teleop16.0
End0.5
red by 11.4
5971
#27
10.30.1
8.28.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed49%Ensemble oddsMissed